Non-free media information and use rationale – non-free logo for Welsh Conservative Party; Description: This is a logo for Welsh Conservative Party. Allowing for the constituency results already projected, and once again assuming uniform national swings since 2016, our new poll projects the following overall results for the Assembly’s regional list seats:South Wales Central: 2 Conservative, 1 Plaid, 1 LabourThese figures therefore generate the following overall projected result for the National Assembly:Conservatives: 26 seats (15 constituency, 11 regional)Such an outcome would of course, be the first time that an election to the National Assembly for Wales had ever produced any party other than Labour winning the largest number of seats.It has been widely noted that many countries have seen a ‘rally around the flag’ effect during the Covid-19 crisis. But the latest Wales Barometer Poll published last week This now means an overall projected outcome for the Senedd of: The big difference in the two latest political opinion polls conducted in Wales - by YouGov and Survation - is the level of Conservative support. "And this mattered because it generated some highly implausible findings on regional list voting intentions. Tweets by WelshConserv. The seats projected to be Conservative gains are: Alyn and Deeside, Cardiff North, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Gower, Llanelli, Islwyn, Neath, Newport East, Newport West, Pontypridd and Torfaen.

The latest Wales Barometer Poll showed the Welsh Conservatives down 11 points to 35%. Using the standard method, of projecting swings since the last general election uniformly across Wales, we generate the following outcome in terms of seats (with projected changes from the December 2019 election result in brackets):In short, this poll projects the Welsh Conservatives to retain all the seats that they won in December’s general election (which was itself the joint best Conservative performance in terms of seats since 1945), and then gain a further eleven seats on top of that! Welsh Conservatives call for Fix your Bike Voucher Scheme to create a healthier and greener Wales. The director of the Centre for Welsh Studies, Matthew McKinnon, said the poll reflected changes in politics both here in Wales and more widely.He said, "This polling does include 16&17-year-old voters who will be able to vote in next years devolved elections, so the strong show for Labour may be down to this recent change in who is eligible to vote. #GetWalesMoving. This 38 percent support on the constituency vote is another all-time high.

The poll shows support for Welsh Labour at 40% in the constituency vote, while the Welsh Conservatives fall further to 26%.

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